If you’re interested in betting on the late kicks in horse races, you may be wondering: What is
the best time to bet on these types of races? Here are some tips for you. Closers run in the
second flight, while pressers start in the middle of the pack. This conserves their energy for
the late kick. This article outlines the different strategies used by these types of horses. While
they all have different strengths and weaknesses, the information provided here will help you
make an informed decision.
Closers to late kick horse racing
The last two days of harness racing feature finals of the First Tracks Cumberland’s Kick-Off
Late Closer Series. The purses for the series total $30,000. In the Kick-Off #1 final, the first
prize of $8,000 is up for grabs. The race is contested by Northview Punter N, a 13-year-old
son of Bettor’s Delight. She is installed at 5-2 odds.
Predicting the closing kick of a horse
To predict a horse’s closing kick, you’ll need to look at a graph of a horse race’s sectionals.
The graph will show you how fast each horse covered 200m sections starting from the 1000m
mark and ending at the finish line. You’ll find that a horse that runs quickly early in the race is
likely to run slower late, but will have enough energy left in the tank to run a fast closing
sectional.
Another important factor to consider is the track surface. Some horses perform better on faster
surfaces, while others are more comfortable on slow ones. If you know what surfaces a horse
has won on, you can use the data to predict a horse’s closing kick in the future. By following
this rule, you’ll be able to identify which horses are likely to perform better on a particular
track surface.
In this study, we used TurfTrax data from 33 races on Goodwood. Our analysis showed that
horses’ maximum speeds were significantly lower on an incline than on a flat surface, and that
their highest speeds were during the level running portion of the race. Interestingly, the incline
level was strongly correlated with percentage of the race, which was a difficult factor to control
in mixed models.
Predicting the early speed of a horse
Predicting the early speed of a racehorse can give you valuable insight into the race’s set up
and help you make good wagers. While speed figures do not guarantee a winner, they do
indicate a horse’s speed throughout the race. Early speed is an important handicapping factor,
as it determines a horse’s final time and running style. It also indicates whether a horse will be
a deep closer or a need-the-lead type.
Optimal conversion rates differ from track to track, but the numbers in this table are generally
accepted across the board. These numbers are adjusted for weight and age, as older horses
are faster than young, still-developing juveniles. So, it’s important to note that these figures
are just an average and should be used with caution. You can try to improve your odds by
adjusting the numbers based on your own assumptions.
TimeformUS’ Early and Late Ratings are complex, compared to simpler scenarios. The
numbers are based on the speed of a horse over the first two furlongs, middle two-furlongs,
and last four-furlongs. You won’t find the exact speed figure of a horse in a race, but you can
get an idea of its early speed and late kick by reviewing its past performances.
There are other factors that determine a horse’s early speed. For example, if a horse is small,
it will be slower than a large, 15-hand thoroughbred. The length of the stride and its stride rate
are two other factors to consider. Long-legged horses are more difficult to bring their legs
forward quickly, so they have a higher chance of being slow in the early stages of a race.
